Measurement Uncertainty Estimation

Every result carries uncertainty. We help you estimate it with a documented rationale, report it correctly and use it when deciding whether a result complies with a limit.

Why it matters

ISO/IEC 17025 clause 7.6 requires laboratories to identify the contributions to measurement uncertainty and evaluate it. Beyond compliance, uncertainty tells you how confident you can be when a result is compared with a legal limit.

  • No uncertainty estimate, or one fixed value applied to every parameter
  • Significant sources — sample preparation, recovery, matrix effects — left out
  • No documented rationale or data source behind the numbers
  • No decision rule for results close to a limit

Approaches we use

GUM (modelling) approach

Based on JCGM 100:2008. A measurement model is built and each input's uncertainty is combined using sensitivity coefficients. Common in calibration and physical measurements.

Nordtest (data-based) approach

Following Nordtest TR 537: within-laboratory reproducibility combined with bias from reference materials, recovery or proficiency testing data. Practical and defensible for chemical testing.

Eurachem/CITAC guidance

Guidance on quantifying uncertainty in analytical measurement, supporting the use of validation data.

Sampling uncertainty

Cases in environmental work where uncertainty arising from sampling needs to be assessed separately.

How to calculate measurement uncertainty

  1. Specify the measurand and how the result is calculated.
  2. Identify sources with a cause-and-effect (fishbone) diagram.
  3. Quantify each source from validation, calibration certificates, QC and PT data.
  4. Convert and combine into a combined standard uncertainty.
  5. Expand, typically with k=2 (approximately 95% coverage).
  6. Report and define the decision rule for statements of conformity (clause 7.8.6).

The strongest input to an uncertainty budget is a well-designed method validation; proficiency testing results can supply the bias component.

Deliverables

  • Uncertainty budgets per method with a rationale document
  • Protected calculation templates your staff can reuse
  • Measurement uncertainty procedure and decision rule
  • Hands-on calculation training for your team

Prepared by the Molar Çevre technical team · Last reviewed:

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What is measurement uncertainty?

A parameter describing the dispersion of values that could reasonably be attributed to the measured quantity. It expresses, as a number, how reliable a result is, and is usually reported as an expanded uncertainty corresponding to approximately 95% coverage.

How is measurement uncertainty calculated?

Define the measurand, identify and quantify the sources of uncertainty, convert each to a standard uncertainty and combine them. The combined standard uncertainty is typically multiplied by a coverage factor k=2 to give the expanded uncertainty.

Should we use GUM or Nordtest?

GUM modelling suits measurements whose inputs can be modelled one by one. For routine analytical testing, the Nordtest approach using within-laboratory reproducibility and bias data is often more practical. We choose with you based on the method and the data available.

How does uncertainty affect a statement of conformity?

When a result is close to a limit, its uncertainty interval may straddle it. ISO/IEC 17025 requires the decision rule used for statements of conformity to be defined and agreed with the customer. We help you define one.

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